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اتوار، 13 فروری، 2011

The nuclear balance between India, Pakistan

The Pakistannis have significantly accelrated production of uranium and plutonium for bombs and developed new weapons to deliver them. After years of approximate weapons parity, Pakistan has now edged ahead of India. It also says that these figures make Pakistan the world`s fifth-largest nuclear power.
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By Afshain Afzal

Washington Post, quoting non-government analysts, reported on January 31, 2011, that Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal now totals more than 100 deployed weapons, a doubling of its stockpile over the past several years. It also claimed that the Pakistanis have significantly accelerated production of uranium and plutonium for bombs and developed new weapons to deliver them. New Delhi and Tel Aviv must offer thanks to the daily that it helped them in their joint plot against Pakistan. Intentional or unintentional, what ever the case may be, Washington Post has questioned the peacefulness of Pakistani nuclear programme by blaming Pakistan of having edged ahead of India with over 100 deployed nuclear weapons. In fact, Washington Post has acted on the directions of Defence Intelligence Agency (DIA) and Indian intelligence mafia that it has confirmed the blame of New Delhi despite the fact that there is no proofs either about the claim that Pakistan has made any further addition to its nuclear arsenal in the recent years or its nuclear programme is for some other purpose than to meet its growing energy demands. If we recall, last year, Indian Army Chief, General Deepak Kapoor also claimed that Pakistan’s nuclear assets had surpassed the limits of deterrence and that Islamabad’s capabilities needed to be verified, after that New Delhi could think about reviewing its own nuclear strategy. Without going into the details, it is, in fact, western countries, which most of the time mislead New Delhi not only about Pakistan but also about China and other countries about increase of their capabilities from maximum level of deterrence. The question arises, why US or any other country would pose Pakistan more powerful than India, despite the fact that it is an open secret that Washington and other western countries have very long term objective in and with India. The interest shown by the western nations, especially US in Indian economy and their plans to support Indian development programmes with provision of high tech defence and nuclear equipment worth billions of dollars speaks of Washington long term policy for Indian Ocean. One wonders when India has its own signal interception units including facilities at Embassies and Consulates, Radio Interception Units, setups of Intelligence, G installations as well as stations in other countries why it should accept intelligence inputs and later dictations from other countries. New Delhi cannot deny the fact that never any hostile move was ever intercepted by its personnel operating in India and elsewhere. No doubt, it is CIA and other western agencies which had been feeding self-engineered intelligence inputs on the basis of the activities of its own agents in the target countries, interpreting as activities sponsored by target governments. Interestingly, despite the fact that top Indian scientist A P J Kalam claimed that the test of the hydrogen bomb in 1998 was a success, there are reports that a lot of discussions are taking place among Indian nuclear scientists that it might need another test to validate the thermonuclear device. Washington has reportedly promised India to help her in developing additional nuclear weapons. There are unconfirmed reports that Washington is also planning to shift portions of its aging nuclear arsenal in India. It is important to mention here that the instead of making efforts to denuclearize and clear the world from nuclear weapons, the western nations are providing opportunities to countries to come into competition with other countries. Plans have been unearthed where some Arab countries having alliance with US are also being encouraged to have their own nuclear facilities. It has become a matter of routine that unfounded blames are leveled on Pakistan that it is politically fragile. It has been pointed out by Washington Post that US administration fears of proliferation or possible terrorist attempts to seize Pakistan’s nuclear materials but probably it is forgetting that US highly secure Pentagon had been successfully targeted by certain American nationals that resulted in killing of over 300 US officers in a single attempt. US cannot claim to be terrorist free country? There are more chances that the nuclear weapons of US are taken over by the terrorists than that of Pakistan. Then why black propaganda is carried out that Washington fears proliferation or possible terrorist attempts to seize Pakistan’s nuclear materials. Washington, Israel and some western countries are trying to enhance India’s nuclear capabilities so that it can counter China and Pakistan but if Allah forbid the nuclear race in South Asia starts whole responsibility would fall on US. No doubt, all the countries of the world have right to develop nuclear power for peaceful purposes. It is generally believed that US recent attractive offers to India as well as Indo-US Nuclear Cooperation Agreement is in favour of India but it is other way round. In fact, US could not find resources to monitor Indian nuclear and missile programmes but in the garb of cooperation Washington has got a golden opportunity to send its watch dog tentacles inside India. Interestingly, US firms are also openly recruiting India youth to collect information from various nuclear power installations. It is important to mention here that US has plans to bring into effect a Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (CTBT) and endorse a ban on enrichment and reprocessing equipment to India. No doubt, in the pursuit to become more powerful than Pakistan India has tied its hands in the shape of secret agreements. There is no doubt, that US is slowly and gradually curbing Indian nuclear weapons programme and will also not allow to carryout development in the field of nuclear science. India is using west to cap Pakistan nuclear programme and enhance its nuclear capabilities but so far it has only compromised its sovereignty and credibility in the eyes of old friends. The speculative reports by National Maritime Foundation, Institute of Science and International Security and Federation of American Scientists are without proofs. In the past, such organizations in collaboration with western intelligence agencies leveled serious allegations on Iraq and Afghanistan for possession of fissile material and Weapons of Mass Destruction but despite mass killings and invasions not even single evidence could be traced. Although, Wikileaks are mere an attempt to divert the war crimes and human rights violations of US and its allies in Afghanistan, Pakistan and elsewhere but the revelation by Wikileaks and the statements of Indian leaders like Rahul Gandhi that Hindu militant organization Rashtriya Sevak Sangh (RSS) was a thousand times more dangerous than the Al-Qaida put a question mark on India’s security. One wonders how India is safe to be allowed to carryout nuclear development and Pakistan is not? The fact cannot be denied that India has larger quantity of stockpiles of fissile materials that can be used for the development of nuclear weapons. Washington, instead of helping Pakistan to balance the situation, further enhanced New Delhi’s capability by striking US-India Civil Nuclear Cooperation Agreement. On the contrary, the US administration has disapproved similar deal with Pakistan. Islamabad is rightly suspicions that the US, Israel and many western countries aim to destroy its nuclear programme and are favouring India for its own long term objective in the region. In the present scenario, international community as well as United Nations needs to be vigilant that proliferation of nuclear weapons does not take place and Washington does not attempt to transfer its nuclear weapons or nuclear fissile materials to India.

afshainafzal@yahoo.com
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